Saturday, November 5, 2011

Is it time to say "oxi" ("no" in Greek) to the current world order?


"You are listening to the voice of Greece. Greeks, stand firm, proud, and dignified. You must prove yourselves worthy of your history. The valor and victory of our army has already been recognised. The righteousness of our cause will also be recognised. We did our duty honestly. Friends! Have Greece in your hearts, live inspired with the fire of her latest triumph and the glory of our army. Greece will live again and will be great, because she fought honestly for a just cause and for freedom. Brothers! Have courage and patience. Be stouthearted. We will overcome these hardships. Greeks! With Greece in your minds you must be proud and dignified. We have been an honest nation and brave soldiers."

“An address from Athens Radio the day before the Greek capitulation in the war of 1940/1941….”

In the early hours of October 28th, 1940, the Italian ambassador to Greece Emmanuel Grazzi presented the Prime Minister of Greece Ioannis Metaxas with an ultimatum that demanded Greece to allow Italian troops  occupy Greek territory. Mr. Metaxas responded with a firm “oxi” (“no”) and that event has always been commemorated as an example of steadfastness and bravery of a nation when faced with a threat of invasion.

It is all the more mind boggling that the current Greek leadership is docilely begging for loans and can’t stand up to the challenge and put its financial house in order. There are some recent publications “as in The Economist” that literally call it “the scapegrace” of the European Union for its lack of a resemblance of discipline and clear idea of getting out of the current quagmire.  Perhaps it is time for the Greek people as well as the citizens of the world to say “oxi” to the existing world order and strive for a better future unobstructed by greed and begging for loans.

There are several trends that are poised to form the world order in the years to come that certainly deserve careful analysis. The recent elections in Tunisia for instance seem to be the harbinger of a political development in the entire region-namely the ascendance of religion and faith as predominant factor when choosing who to vote for. There are several reasons for that and this article will attempt to shed some light on the causes that led to the victory of the Nahda party there. In the mean time the western part of the world has been rocked by the grass root “Occupy Wall Street” movement that seems to be digging in for a long battle with the existing political order. It’s interesting to note a recent announcement made by the office of the Vatican that effectively proposed the world to establish a supranational financial authority that could set the course of the global economic development in order to avoid crisis and mismanagement as the ones occurring in Europe. So what seems to be the parallel between a moderate religious party winning the elections in Tunisia, a grass root movement in the West and the Vatican getting involved in macroeconomics?
The answer could be associated with a dramatic dissatisfaction that citizens across the globe are experiencing with the current state of affairs-namely corruption, enrichment based not on good business but on manipulation of political connections and favors and ultimately unfettered greed.

Corruption has always been present in various countries but what has occurred in the last twenty or thirty years has been unfathomable and hard to accept. If we just mention the millions embezzled by Ferdinand Marcos in the Philippinnes, Taxin Shinawatra in Thailand, Alberto Fujimori in Peru, Hosni Mubarak in Egypt, oligarchs in Russia and Ukraine, Bernie Madoff in the US, the list can go on and on and on. They all have been either presidents of countries or high level participants in the financial order that allowed them to swindle money while pretending they were involved in legitimate governance or business operations. What that perception of enrichment based on power created in the world was the dissatisfaction with the status quo and ultimately searching for ways to topple the existing order and replace it with one that would be more sensitive to the plight of the ordinary people.

Tunisia is a perfect example of the trend that is due to sweep through the entire region in the near future. It is a country of approximately 11 million people that was the first in the Arab World to overthrow its dictator and have free elections. The party that won the majority in the Parliament on October 23rd was Nahda-a political establishment based on moderate religious postulates. It would be quite near sighted to brandish it “islamist”. The reason the people in Tunisia voted for Nahda is not because they wanted some sort of “sharia” state to be created but because they thought that Nahda would “steal less”, meaning would be less corrupt in the long run.

I can’t help but associate myself with the lines of people on this past Sunday waiting patiently to cast their votes in the cities of Tunisia. It reminded me of the early free “elections” in Bulgaria that I witnessed when everyone was excited and ready for a change. What occurred however was corruption and general lack of trust to the ruling elite as it proved itself to just strive for enrichment based on power and not even remotely think about “the people”.

Another example of a failure based on greed would naturally be Greece. The European Union is still struggling to find a solution how to handle the crisis. In order to understand what happened in financial terms, imagine a consumer whose annual salary, for the sake of argument, is say $20,000 a year. Then imagine that person borrows $31,000 by forging his financial statements, etc. Then imagine he spends it all in Las Vegas overnight and then picture him calling the banks the following day telling them that he can’t pay, and asking them to lower his debt to $15,000 if they want to get anything back at all. That’s exactly what Greece has been doing for the last two years. It borrowed roughly 160% to its GDP (or what its revenue is per annum) and now it is saying that this debt is unsustainable and if the banks want something back they should consider a “haircut” or reduction of 50 cents to the dollar. What is even more appalling is the fact the Greek government is now asking its “people” to sacrifice and share the burden of this debt that was accumulated without their knowledge to start with.

I also can’t help but remember a high ranking minister from a country in Africa whom I met while he was visiting Washington, DC who was handing out $100 bills to the staff at the hotel he was staying in as gratuity. That was happening when that particular country’s nominal GDP per capita was a mere $186!

The current disillusionment with the existing world order will continue to be essential for the years to come. More “Nahda” parties will appear and people will vote for them because they think that the basic humanistic values like “Don’t steal” that lie in every major religion are to be upheld and cherished. The world however is lacking a leader like Charles De Gaulle or Willie Brandt to inspire people all over the world and propose a solution to the current predicament.

Let’s hope that one day there will be a world that is united and based on the very humanistic essential values that have sustained us over so many centuries regardless if the religion is Christian, Muslim or Buddist.. Perhaps the United Nations will also become a “world parliament” without special interests and vetoes. Perhaps one day a leader as Ioanis Metaxas will have the courage to say “oxi” (“no”) to the injustice done and the world will become a better place without greed and embezzlement, perhaps……